https://predictandprofit.io/blog Market analysis, bot updates, and automated prediction market trading strategy for Kalshi weather and inflation contracts. en-us Sat, 01 Aug 2026 12:00:00 GMT https://predictandprofit.io/blog/2026-08-01-the-daylight-saving-time-bug-that-broke-my-weather-bot-for-8-months https://predictandprofit.io/blog/2026-08-01-the-daylight-saving-time-bug-that-broke-my-weather-bot-for-8-months Every losing trade in my Kalshi weather bot fell inside the DST window. Here is the exact bug, how I found it, and the fix. Sat, 01 Aug 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Trading Bot Weather Bot Post-Mortem NOAA National Blend of Models Python Debugging Prediction Markets https://predictandprofit.io/blog/2026-07-31-the-daylight-saving-time-bug-that-broke-my-weather-bot-for-8-months https://predictandprofit.io/blog/2026-07-31-the-daylight-saving-time-bug-that-broke-my-weather-bot-for-8-months Every losing trade in my weather trading bot fell inside a DST window. Here is how I found it, what the code looked like, and why I should have known better. Fri, 31 Jul 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Weather Bot Post-Mortem Python Data Engineering Automated Trading NOAA https://predictandprofit.io/blog/2026-07-30-the-daylight-saving-time-bug-that-broke-my-weather-bot-for-8-months https://predictandprofit.io/blog/2026-07-30-the-daylight-saving-time-bug-that-broke-my-weather-bot-for-8-months Every losing trade my weather bot made fell in the DST window. Here is how I found it, what the code looked like, and the fix. Thu, 30 Jul 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Weather Bot Post-Mortem Python DST Bug NOAA Automated Trading https://predictandprofit.io/blog/2026-07-29-the-daylight-saving-time-bug-that-broke-my-weather-bot-for-8-months https://predictandprofit.io/blog/2026-07-29-the-daylight-saving-time-bug-that-broke-my-weather-bot-for-8-months My weather trading bot lost money for four months. The audit found every losing trade fell inside a DST window I never thought to check. Wed, 29 Jul 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Weather Bot Post-Mortem Python Data Engineering Bug Fix Automated Trading https://predictandprofit.io/blog/building-in-public-at-60-what-nobody-tells-you-about-startin https://predictandprofit.io/blog/building-in-public-at-60-what-nobody-tells-you-about-startin An honest accounting of what starting a technical side project at 60 actually looks like, the real advantages, the real disadvantages, and why the math still works. Mon, 29 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Building in Public Indie Hacker Late Career Passive Income Python https://predictandprofit.io/blog/polymarket-vs-kalshi-an-honest-comparison-for-algo-traders-i https://predictandprofit.io/blog/polymarket-vs-kalshi-an-honest-comparison-for-algo-traders-i A technical breakdown of Polymarket vs Kalshi for automated traders: regulation, liquidity, API quality, fees, and which platform actually makes sense to build on. Sun, 28 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Prediction Markets Algo Trading Polymarket Python https://predictandprofit.io/blog/the-prd-that-was-obsolete-before-the-sprint-started https://predictandprofit.io/blog/the-prd-that-was-obsolete-before-the-sprint-started Product requirements documents written by non-engineers, for engineers who weren't consulted, describing features nobody asked for: a post-mortem on corporate spec theater and what I do instead. Sat, 27 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Corporate Life Solo Builder Engineering Product Development https://predictandprofit.io/blog/why-binary-contracts-are-actually-easier-to-model-than-stock https://predictandprofit.io/blog/why-binary-contracts-are-actually-easier-to-model-than-stock Binary prediction markets settle to 0 or 100, and that mathematical simplicity is exactly why a data engineer can build a profitable model for them but not for equities. Fri, 26 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Prediction Markets Probability Python Algo Trading https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kronos-what-nvidias-12-billion-candlestick-foundation-model- https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kronos-what-nvidias-12-billion-candlestick-foundation-model- A factual breakdown of NVIDIA's Kronos financial time-series foundation model: what the benchmarks actually show, where it earns the hype, and why it is not a trading signal. Thu, 25 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Data Engineering Machine Learning Financial Modeling Kalshi Python https://predictandprofit.io/blog/the-bug-that-made-my-bot-blind-to-its-own-positions https://predictandprofit.io/blog/the-bug-that-made-my-bot-blind-to-its-own-positions A single wrong dict key in kalshi_client.py caused the Econ Bot to think it had zero open positions every time it checked, leading to repeated entries and phantom risk it couldn't see. Wed, 24 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Python Debugging Econ Bot Algo Trading https://predictandprofit.io/blog/psycopg2-vs-sqlalchemy-which-one-should-your-trading-bot-use https://predictandprofit.io/blog/psycopg2-vs-sqlalchemy-which-one-should-your-trading-bot-use A direct technical comparison of psycopg2 and SQLAlchemy for trading bots, including the creator= pattern for peer auth and what the Predict & Profit bots actually use. Mon, 22 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python PostgreSQL Trading Bot Database psycopg2 SQLAlchemy https://predictandprofit.io/blog/nginx-as-a-reverse-proxy-the-20-line-config-that-runs-my-pro https://predictandprofit.io/blog/nginx-as-a-reverse-proxy-the-20-line-config-that-runs-my-pro The actual Nginx config serving predictandprofit.io, explained line by line, with Let's Encrypt SSL and why a $6 VPS beats $50 managed hosting for a Next.js site. Sun, 21 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Nginx VPS Deployment Next.js DevOps https://predictandprofit.io/blog/the-psychology-of-losing-trades-what-9-months-of-automated-t https://predictandprofit.io/blog/the-psychology-of-losing-trades-what-9-months-of-automated-t Nine months of watching a bot lose trades I could have manually avoided taught me that the real skill in automated trading is not the algorithm, it is the discipline to leave it alone. Sat, 20 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Trading Bot Algo Trading Psychology Automated Trading Prediction Markets Python Trading Bot https://predictandprofit.io/blog/git-history-as-a-debug-tool-how-i-found-a-two-week-old-bug-u https://predictandprofit.io/blog/git-history-as-a-debug-tool-how-i-found-a-two-week-old-bug-u A real debugging story: how git bisect helped me find a silent regression in the weather bot that had been hiding for two weeks inside a commit called 'misc fixes'. Fri, 19 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Git Debugging Python Kalshi Trading Bot Developer Tools https://predictandprofit.io/blog/why-i-stopped-asking-for-permission-to-automate-my-own-job https://predictandprofit.io/blog/why-i-stopped-asking-for-permission-to-automate-my-own-job The absurdity of hiding automation at work, and what happens when you stop asking for approval and just build. Thu, 18 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Automation Python Corporate Life Side Projects Kalshi https://predictandprofit.io/blog/cron-jobs-are-the-most-underrated-automation-tool-in-a-solo- https://predictandprofit.io/blog/cron-jobs-are-the-most-underrated-automation-tool-in-a-solo- A real crontab walkthrough: how I use cron to run DB exports, generate blog posts, update results JSON, and health-check the trading bots without a single line of framework overhead. Wed, 17 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Automation Python Linux Solo Builder DevOps https://predictandprofit.io/blog/ecmwf-aifs-the-ai-forecast-model-thats-quietly-beating-the-p https://predictandprofit.io/blog/ecmwf-aifs-the-ai-forecast-model-thats-quietly-beating-the-p ECMWF's AI Integrated Forecasting System is matching or exceeding the deterministic IFS on most skill metrics, and understanding why it works changes how you think about ensemble weighting. Tue, 16 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) ECMWF Weather Forecasting Prediction Markets Machine Learning Kalshi Trading Bot https://predictandprofit.io/blog/why-i-added-62-unit-tests-to-a-bot-i-already-trusted https://predictandprofit.io/blog/why-i-added-62-unit-tests-to-a-bot-i-already-trusted The econ bot had two bugs that only showed up in production: a regime detection false positive and a strike consistency failure. Here is what I built to make sure they never come back. Mon, 15 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python Automated Trading Unit Testing Kalshi Econ Bot https://predictandprofit.io/blog/how-to-run-python-scripts-on-a-schedule-without-cron-breakin https://predictandprofit.io/blog/how-to-run-python-scripts-on-a-schedule-without-cron-breakin Cron breaks Python scripts in four specific ways, and each one has a fix that takes less than five minutes once you know what to look for. Sun, 14 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python Automation DevOps Cron Systemd https://predictandprofit.io/blog/ecmwf-vs-gfs-which-weather-model-is-actually-more-accurate-f https://predictandprofit.io/blog/ecmwf-vs-gfs-which-weather-model-is-actually-more-accurate-f A data-driven comparison of ECMWF IFS and NOAA GFS model skill scores, with published RMSE verification data, and why the Weather Bot uses both. Sat, 13 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Weather Models ECMWF GFS Kalshi Trading Ensemble Forecasting https://predictandprofit.io/blog/five-signals-are-better-than-one-inside-the-econ-bots-multi- https://predictandprofit.io/blog/five-signals-are-better-than-one-inside-the-econ-bots-multi- A technical walkthrough of the Econ Bot's 5-source signal stack: how Cleveland Fed, FRED, BLS, BEA, and a homemade weighted nowcast combine into a single probability estimate for Kalshi CPI and PCE markets. Fri, 12 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Trading Bot Econ Bot Prediction Markets Algo Trading Inflation Trading https://predictandprofit.io/blog/the-architecture-review-that-took-longer-than-building-the-f https://predictandprofit.io/blog/the-architecture-review-that-took-longer-than-building-the-f Enterprise architecture review boards exist to prevent mistakes, but somewhere they became the mistake. Thu, 11 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Engineering Culture Solo Building Prediction Markets Kalshi https://predictandprofit.io/blog/pm2-the-process-manager-that-keeps-my-bots-running-while-i-s https://predictandprofit.io/blog/pm2-the-process-manager-that-keeps-my-bots-running-while-i-s How I use PM2 to keep both trading bots alive on a RackNerd VPS without babysitting them at 3am. Wed, 10 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python VPS Deployment Automation Kalshi Trading Bot DevOps https://predictandprofit.io/blog/regime-change-detection-how-the-econ-bot-knows-when-the-mark https://predictandprofit.io/blog/regime-change-detection-how-the-econ-bot-knows-when-the-mark How the Econ Bot's regime change detector works: the threshold math, what triggers a close, and why it's the most important risk feature in the whole system. Tue, 09 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Trading Bot Econ Bot Algo Trading Prediction Markets Python https://predictandprofit.io/blog/github-actions-from-scratch-the-deployment-pipeline-i-wish-i https://predictandprofit.io/blog/github-actions-from-scratch-the-deployment-pipeline-i-wish-i A real walkthrough of the GitHub Actions workflow running predictandprofit.io, including the actual YAML, and why it runs in under 90 seconds while enterprise CI/CD takes 45 minutes to lint a semicolon. Mon, 08 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) GitHub Actions CI/CD Deployment DevOps Python https://predictandprofit.io/blog/what-the-kalshi-order-book-actually-looks-like-at-2am-and-wh https://predictandprofit.io/blog/what-the-kalshi-order-book-actually-looks-like-at-2am-and-wh Real observations of Kalshi market liquidity across the trading day, what thin books do to automated execution, and how the Weather Bot handles it without blowing up a position. Sun, 07 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Algo Trading Order Execution Prediction Markets Python https://predictandprofit.io/blog/how-i-auto-generate-this-blog-with-a-6-vps-a-cron-job-and-th https://predictandprofit.io/blog/how-i-auto-generate-this-blog-with-a-6-vps-a-cron-job-and-th The exact pipeline that writes, formats, and publishes these posts automatically: cron, Python, Anthropic API, git push, GitHub Actions, Next.js rebuild, live. Sat, 06 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Automation Python Anthropic API Indie Hacker Blog Engineering https://predictandprofit.io/blog/nvm-node-version-hell-and-why-i-always-run-nvm-alias-default https://predictandprofit.io/blog/nvm-node-version-hell-and-why-i-always-run-nvm-alias-default Every new SSH session defaulting to Node 16 is a fixable problem, and the fix is one command you should run before you do anything else. Fri, 05 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) DevOps Node.js VPS Environment Setup Tutorial https://predictandprofit.io/blog/how-i-backfill-missing-settlement-data-from-the-kalshi-api https://predictandprofit.io/blog/how-i-backfill-missing-settlement-data-from-the-kalshi-api The Kalshi /portfolio/settlements endpoint, why settled trades go missing in the local DB, and the Python backfill script I use to reconcile everything. Thu, 04 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi API Python Algo Trading Prediction Markets Data Engineering https://predictandprofit.io/blog/what-gumroad-actually-pays-out-and-what-they-dont-tell-you-a https://predictandprofit.io/blog/what-gumroad-actually-pays-out-and-what-they-dont-tell-you-a The real Gumroad fee structure in 2026, what you actually net on a $97 sale, and how to keep more of it by driving your own traffic. Wed, 03 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Gumroad Digital Products Indie Hacker Passive Income ItsMoreThanSoftware https://predictandprofit.io/blog/environment-variables-secrets-and-env-files-how-i-manage-api https://predictandprofit.io/blog/environment-variables-secrets-and-env-files-how-i-manage-api A practical guide to managing API keys across dev, staging, and prod without leaking secrets into git history. Tue, 02 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python Security DevOps Kalshi Automation https://predictandprofit.io/blog/shipping-a-sqlite-bot-to-customers-when-you-run-postgresql-i https://predictandprofit.io/blog/shipping-a-sqlite-bot-to-customers-when-you-run-postgresql-i How I translated the Predict & Profit bots from PostgreSQL with JSONB and peer auth to SQLite for customer distribution, and why SQLite is actually the right call. Mon, 01 Jun 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python SQLite PostgreSQL Kalshi Algo Trading https://predictandprofit.io/blog/reddit-is-still-the-best-free-marketing-channel-for-technica https://predictandprofit.io/blog/reddit-is-still-the-best-free-marketing-channel-for-technica Which subreddits actually drive conversions for a technical trading product, how to post without getting banned, and the real numbers behind 12 sales and $810 with zero paid ads. Sun, 31 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Marketing Reddit Indie Hacker Kalshi Passive Income https://predictandprofit.io/blog/aws-s3-as-a-free-weather-data-pipeline-how-noaa-publishes-fo https://predictandprofit.io/blog/aws-s3-as-a-free-weather-data-pipeline-how-noaa-publishes-fo How to pull NOAA AIGEFS forecast data directly from S3 using GRIB2 index byte-range tricks, and why NOMADS will eventually get you rate-limited into the ground. Sat, 30 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Weather Data Python NOAA AWS S3 Kalshi Trading Bot https://predictandprofit.io/blog/why-i-use-an-llc-to-sell-software-and-what-it-actually-costs https://predictandprofit.io/blog/why-i-use-an-llc-to-sell-software-and-what-it-actually-costs The real costs and practical reasons behind ItsMoreThanSoftware LLC: liability separation, tax treatment, buyer trust, and what changed after selling Predict & Profit source code. Fri, 29 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Indie Dev Business Formation LLC Side Project Python https://predictandprofit.io/blog/the-xarray-truthiness-bug-that-crashed-my-weather-bot-silent https://predictandprofit.io/blog/the-xarray-truthiness-bug-that-crashed-my-weather-bot-silent How Python's or operator on an xarray DataArray raises a silent ValueError that took down my AIGEFS integration before it ever ran a real trade. Thu, 28 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python Debugging xarray Weather Bot Data Engineering https://predictandprofit.io/blog/auto-close-on-regime-change-the-feature-i-was-afraid-to-ship https://predictandprofit.io/blog/auto-close-on-regime-change-the-feature-i-was-afraid-to-ship How the Econ Bot's regime-change auto-close works, why I almost didn't ship it, and the testing path that made me confident enough to turn it on. Wed, 27 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Trading Bot Econ Bot Algo Trading Python Risk Management https://predictandprofit.io/blog/building-a-dead-simple-health-check-for-a-headless-python-bo https://predictandprofit.io/blog/building-a-dead-simple-health-check-for-a-headless-python-bo How to know your bot is still running at 3am without buying a monitoring SaaS: a heartbeat file, a lightweight HTTP endpoint, and a cron job that emails you when things go quiet. Wed, 27 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python Automation Deployment Kalshi DevOps https://predictandprofit.io/blog/how-i-use-git-as-a-deployment-system-and-why-it-works-perfectly-for-solo-projects https://predictandprofit.io/blog/how-i-use-git-as-a-deployment-system-and-why-it-works-perfectly-for-solo-projects My full git push to production workflow for solo Python projects: no Docker, no Kubernetes, no Jenkins, just SSH and a shell script that actually works. Mon, 25 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Git Deployment Python DevOps Solo Dev https://predictandprofit.io/blog/tax-implications-of-prediction-market-trading-what-i-learned https://predictandprofit.io/blog/tax-implications-of-prediction-market-trading-what-i-learned How Kalshi winnings get taxed, what the 1099 threshold actually means, why you need your own records, and what changes when you trade through an LLC. Sun, 24 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Prediction Markets Taxes Trading ItsMoreThanSoftware LLC https://predictandprofit.io/blog/vps-vs-managed-hosting-why-i-run-everything-on-a-6-racknerd-box https://predictandprofit.io/blog/vps-vs-managed-hosting-why-i-run-everything-on-a-6-racknerd-box Real pricing, real tradeoffs, and the exact setup I use to run two trading bots and a blog on a $6/month VPS. Sat, 23 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) DevOps VPS Self-Hosting Python Kalshi https://predictandprofit.io/blog/postgres-on-a-6-vps-the-setup-that-runs-two-live-trading-bot https://predictandprofit.io/blog/postgres-on-a-6-vps-the-setup-that-runs-two-live-trading-bot The exact Postgres setup, schemas, and backup commands running the Weather Bot and Econ Bot on a $6 RackNerd VPS. Fri, 22 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) PostgreSQL Trading Bot Python Kalshi DevOps https://predictandprofit.io/blog/thirty-years-of-being-the-smartest-person-in-the-meeting-who https://predictandprofit.io/blog/thirty-years-of-being-the-smartest-person-in-the-meeting-who The psychological cost of knowing the right answer and watching the wrong one get implemented anyway, for three decades. Thu, 21 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Career Engineering Life Automation Algo Trading https://predictandprofit.io/blog/my-first-product-launch-what-i-spent-what-i-made-and-what-id https://predictandprofit.io/blog/my-first-product-launch-what-i-spent-what-i-made-and-what-id Real numbers from the first few months of predictandprofit.io: hosting costs, Gumroad fees, time invested, first sale, and what marketing actually moved the needle. Wed, 20 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Indie Hacker Product Launch Kalshi Trading Bot Passive Income Automation Predict and Profit https://predictandprofit.io/blog/the-difference-between-a-side-project-and-a-product-i-learne https://predictandprofit.io/blog/the-difference-between-a-side-project-and-a-product-i-learne The moment a buyer emails you at 11pm with a setup question is the moment your side project becomes a product, whether you are ready or not. Tue, 19 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Side Project Product Development Indie Hacking Python Kalshi https://predictandprofit.io/blog/noaas-graphcast-goes-operational-what-it-means-for-weather-t https://predictandprofit.io/blog/noaas-graphcast-goes-operational-what-it-means-for-weather-t NOAA's AI-enhanced forecast system went operational in December 2025, and the accuracy numbers are significant enough to change how an ensemble-based trading bot should weight its sources. Mon, 18 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) NOAA AIGEFS GraphCast Weather Trading Bot Kalshi Trading Ensemble Forecasting https://predictandprofit.io/blog/python-logging-done-right-the-setup-that-tells-you-exactly-w https://predictandprofit.io/blog/python-logging-done-right-the-setup-that-tells-you-exactly-w The logging configuration that actually helps you reconstruct what your bot did after a bad trade, with real code from the Predict & Profit bots. Sun, 17 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python Algo Trading Kalshi Automation Tutorial https://predictandprofit.io/blog/april-2026-cpi-what-the-cleveland-fed-nowcast-got-right-and- https://predictandprofit.io/blog/april-2026-cpi-what-the-cleveland-fed-nowcast-got-right-and- A real post-mortem on the Econ Bot's April 2026 CPI positions: how the Cleveland Fed nowcast performed, which strikes resolved correctly, and where the signal missed. Sat, 16 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Trading Bot CPI Inflation Cleveland Fed Nowcast Prediction Markets Econ Bot https://predictandprofit.io/blog/predict-and-profit-v2-2-reliability-release https://predictandprofit.io/blog/predict-and-profit-v2-2-reliability-release Predict & Profit v2.2 is the release where the bots became more honest with themselves: submitted orders are no longer treated as fills, NO-side weather edges are supported, failed data sources are visible, and the dashboard was rebuilt for real operational visibility. Sat, 16 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Product Kalshi Python Release Notes https://predictandprofit.io/blog/the-layoff-that-came-on-a-teams-call https://predictandprofit.io/blog/the-layoff-that-came-on-a-teams-call Thirty years of institutional knowledge, revoked by a screen share and an HR script, and what that moment teaches you about building things you actually own. Tue, 12 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Career Corporate Life Side Projects Builder Mindset https://predictandprofit.io/blog/stack-ranking-destroyed-the-best-team-i-ever-worked-on https://predictandprofit.io/blog/stack-ranking-destroyed-the-best-team-i-ever-worked-on Forced distribution reviews guarantee that 10% of your team fails regardless of absolute performance, and I watched it hollow out one of the best engineering groups I've ever been part of. Mon, 11 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Corporate Engineering Culture Automation Kalshi https://predictandprofit.io/blog/the-corporate-vocabulary-that-slowly-kills-your-will-to-ship https://predictandprofit.io/blog/the-corporate-vocabulary-that-slowly-kills-your-will-to-ship Corporate language is engineered to make inaction sound like progress, and after 30 years of it I built something that speaks plainly. Sun, 10 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Corporate Life Engineering Culture Kalshi Trading Bot Automation Python https://predictandprofit.io/blog/postgresql-trade-log-schema-pnl-queries https://predictandprofit.io/blog/postgresql-trade-log-schema-pnl-queries Most algo trading tutorials show you how to place a trade. Almost none show you how to store, query, and actually understand what your bot did. Here is the PostgreSQL schema and P&L query design behind the Predict and Profit Kalshi weather trading bot. Sat, 09 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python PostgreSQL Data Engineering Automated Trading Kalshi Weather Trading Bot GFS Ensemble Infrastructure https://predictandprofit.io/blog/senior-engineer-ceiling-automated-trading https://predictandprofit.io/blog/senior-engineer-ceiling-automated-trading After 30 years in software you hit a ceiling that nobody talks about in the job posting. Your salary band tops out, the interesting work stops landing on your desk, and the only path up is into management. I found a different path. Sat, 09 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Builder Narrative Automated Trading Passive Income Side Project Kalshi Python GFS Ensemble https://predictandprofit.io/blog/oncall-rotation-versus-self-healing-trading-bot https://predictandprofit.io/blog/oncall-rotation-versus-self-healing-trading-bot I spent years on corporate on-call rotations, getting paged at 3 AM for pipelines I did not write, on infrastructure I did not own. Building my own automated trading bot taught me what it actually looks like when a system is designed to handle failure rather than page a human for it. Tue, 05 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Builder Narrative Automated Trading Python Kalshi Prediction Markets GFS Ensemble Side Project Data Engineering Weather Trading Bot https://predictandprofit.io/blog/open-meteo-gfs-ensemble-api-python https://predictandprofit.io/blog/open-meteo-gfs-ensemble-api-python The Open-Meteo ensemble API gives you access to 31 or more GFS members per forecast cycle at zero cost. Here is the exact Python integration I use to fetch, parse, and validate ensemble data before it touches the scoring engine — including how I calculate ensemble spread, mean probability, and confidence from raw API output. Tue, 05 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python GFS Ensemble Open-Meteo Automated Trading Kalshi Prediction Markets Weather Trading Bot Data Engineering https://predictandprofit.io/blog/friday-status-reports-versus-sqlite-logs https://predictandprofit.io/blog/friday-status-reports-versus-sqlite-logs Every Friday afternoon, corporate engineers across the country write status updates that nobody reads. Meanwhile, my automated trading bots log every decision, every rejection, and every trade to a database that never lies. These two things are not the same. Sun, 03 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Builder Narrative Passive Income Automated Trading Python Side Project Kalshi Alpaca Data Engineering https://predictandprofit.io/blog/three-filters-kalshi-weather-bot-blowup https://predictandprofit.io/blog/three-filters-kalshi-weather-bot-blowup The first version of the bot had no real filters. It took every trade with a positive edge. This post explains the three specific filters I added that cut trade volume by 80% and made the system actually profitable over time. Sun, 03 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Automated Trading GFS Ensemble Weather Trading Bot Python Prediction Markets Edge Scoring Risk Management https://predictandprofit.io/blog/alpaca-fractional-share-position-sizing-python https://predictandprofit.io/blog/alpaca-fractional-share-position-sizing-python A trade signal tells you what to buy. Position sizing tells you how much. With Alpaca's fractional share support you can deploy capital to the dollar. Here is the exact logic I use to translate a composite signal score into a fractional share order without overexposing the portfolio. Sat, 02 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python Alpaca Automated Trading Position Sizing Data Engineering Side Project Kalshi Prediction Markets GFS Ensemble https://predictandprofit.io/blog/sprint-velocity-theater-versus-pnl-outcomes https://predictandprofit.io/blog/sprint-velocity-theater-versus-pnl-outcomes For years I sat in sprint planning sessions estimating story points on features nobody would use. The number that mattered — how much value we actually delivered — was never on the board. Running automated trading systems taught me what it looks like when the only metric that counts is the real one. Sat, 02 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Builder Narrative Automated Trading Python Kalshi Prediction Markets GFS Ensemble Side Project Data Engineering Weather Trading Bot https://predictandprofit.io/blog/cleveland-fed-cpi-nowcast-march-2026 https://predictandprofit.io/blog/cleveland-fed-cpi-nowcast-march-2026 The Cleveland Fed publishes a daily CPI nowcast that is, on most days, the single most accurate near-term inflation signal available to the public. Here is exactly how the Predict & Profit econ bot pulls it, normalizes it against the BLS consensus, and triggers nested-strike Kalshi orders when divergence exceeds 0.15 percentage points. Includes the parsing code. Fri, 01 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Inflation Trading CPI Cleveland Fed Nowcast Statistical Arbitrage Econ Bot Python Prediction Markets Automated Trading https://predictandprofit.io/blog/finnhub-sentiment-age-weighted-scoring-alpaca-python https://predictandprofit.io/blog/finnhub-sentiment-age-weighted-scoring-alpaca-python Raw Finnhub news sentiment scores are noisy and time-agnostic. A headline from six hours ago should not carry the same weight as one from six minutes ago. Here is the exact pipeline I use to fetch, normalize, and age-decay Finnhub sentiment before feeding it into the Alpaca bot's composite trade signal. Fri, 01 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python Alpaca Finnhub Automated Trading Sentiment Analysis Data Engineering Kalshi Prediction Markets GFS Ensemble https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kalshi-weather-bot-profitability-math-2026 https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kalshi-weather-bot-profitability-math-2026 What does it actually cost to run a 62-member ensemble weather bot on Kalshi, and what does it actually return? A breakdown of the math behind the edge: Kelly-criterion sizing, the $0.05 max bid-ask spread filter, slippage, fees, and why the 410% return on a small test balance is a function of compounding small edges, not a get-rich scheme. Fri, 01 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Weather Trading Bot Profitability Kelly Criterion Risk Management GFS Ensemble AIGEFS Automated Trading Python Prediction Markets https://predictandprofit.io/blog/year-end-bonus-trap-daily-pnl-automated-trading https://predictandprofit.io/blog/year-end-bonus-trap-daily-pnl-automated-trading For most of my career I waited 12 months to find out what my work was worth. One number, decided by someone else, based on criteria that shifted every year. Building automated trading systems taught me what objective, daily settlement actually feels like — and I cannot go back. Fri, 01 May 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Builder Narrative Passive Income Automated Trading Python Side Project Kalshi Prediction Markets GFS Ensemble Weather Trading Bot https://predictandprofit.io/blog/deploying-python-trading-bot-systemd-ubuntu https://predictandprofit.io/blog/deploying-python-trading-bot-systemd-ubuntu Running your bot in a terminal is not a deployment. Here is the exact systemd unit configuration, environment variable management, restart policy, and log setup that keeps a headless trading bot running unattended on Ubuntu. Wed, 29 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python Linux systemd Infrastructure Automated Trading Kalshi Kalshi Trading Bot DevOps Prediction Markets https://predictandprofit.io/blog/scope-creep-never-ships-lean-bot-architecture https://predictandprofit.io/blog/scope-creep-never-ships-lean-bot-architecture After 30 years of watching enterprise software collapse under the weight of accumulated requirements, I built a bot with exactly one mandate: find edge, execute trade, log result. Here is why lean scope is not laziness. It is the actual engineering discipline. Wed, 29 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Builder Narrative Automated Trading Python Kalshi Side Project Prediction Markets Software Engineering Data Engineering https://predictandprofit.io/blog/alpaca-tcp-timeout-reconnection-python https://predictandprofit.io/blog/alpaca-tcp-timeout-reconnection-python TCP connections to Alpaca's streaming API drop quietly. The bot doesn't crash. It just stops trading. Here is the exact timeout detection, reconnection logic, and watchdog pattern I use to keep the Alpaca stock bot alive 24/7. Tue, 28 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python Alpaca Automated Trading TCP Networking Infrastructure Data Engineering Side Project https://predictandprofit.io/blog/performance-review-versus-pnl-ledger https://predictandprofit.io/blog/performance-review-versus-pnl-ledger For 30 years I let other people decide if I was performing. Then I built a system where the only performance review is a SQLite database that does not have a manager's opinion, a political agenda, or a budget to protect. Tue, 28 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Builder Narrative Passive Income Automated Trading Python Side Project Prediction Markets Kalshi Data Engineering https://predictandprofit.io/blog/building-a-python-macroeconomic-truth-engine https://predictandprofit.io/blog/building-a-python-macroeconomic-truth-engine A technical walkthrough of the Predict & Profit macroeconomic trading engine: BLS, BEA, FRED, Zillow rent proxies, Cleveland Fed nowcast comparison, and final Kalshi order-book edge calculation. Sun, 26 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python Kalshi CPI Macroeconomics Data Engineering Automated Trading Prediction Markets https://predictandprofit.io/blog/rto-mandate-open-office-automated-trading https://predictandprofit.io/blog/rto-mandate-open-office-automated-trading Return-to-office mandates are corporate theater dressed up as productivity. While I commute to a building to put on noise-canceling headphones and do the exact same work, my automated trading bot runs 24/7 from a server that has never needed to be in the room. Sun, 26 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Builder Narrative Passive Income Automated Trading Python Side Project Prediction Markets Kalshi https://predictandprofit.io/blog/sqlite-thread-safety-dual-bot-python https://predictandprofit.io/blog/sqlite-thread-safety-dual-bot-python Running two automated trading bots on the same server sounds simple until both try to write a trade record at the same millisecond. Here is the exact SQLite thread-safety problem I hit building the dual-bot architecture and the connection management pattern that solved it. Sun, 26 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python SQLite Infrastructure Automated Trading Alpaca Kalshi Weather Trading Bot Data Engineering https://predictandprofit.io/blog/biting-your-tongue-in-corporate-engineering https://predictandprofit.io/blog/biting-your-tongue-in-corporate-engineering 30 years of knowing the VP's architecture is wrong and saying nothing because you need the paycheck. The psychological drain is real. Here is what it feels like to build systems where the objective truth is rewarded instead of punished. Fri, 24 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Builder Narrative Python Automated Trading Side Project Prediction Markets Kalshi https://predictandprofit.io/blog/corporate-engineering-to-solo-builder https://predictandprofit.io/blog/corporate-engineering-to-solo-builder Corporate engineering is a trade where you exchange your sharpest hours for a salary and someone else's roadmap. Here is the math behind building an automated Python engine that executes statistical arbitrage using a 62-member weather ensemble while you sleep, and why the skills transfer almost exactly. Fri, 24 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python Automated Trading Prediction Markets Passive Income Kalshi Weather Trading Bot Data Engineering https://predictandprofit.io/blog/escaping-alignment-meetings-with-python https://predictandprofit.io/blog/escaping-alignment-meetings-with-python I spent 30 years building systems for corporations. The meeting that broke me was not the layoff. It was the third alignment meeting in a week to discuss the roadmap for the meeting about the roadmap. So I built something for myself. Fri, 24 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Builder Narrative Automated Trading Side Project GFS Ensemble Kalshi Python Passive Income https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kalshi-rsa-pss-authentication-python https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kalshi-rsa-pss-authentication-python Implement Kalshi API RSA-PSS signing in Python with private-key loading, signed request headers, timestamp handling, and the failure cases that cause 401 errors. Fri, 24 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python Kalshi API Authentication RSA-PSS Automated Trading Kalshi Trading Bot Prediction Markets https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kronos-ai-model-crypto-trading-alpaca https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kronos-ai-model-crypto-trading-alpaca How I wired the Kronos candlestick foundation model into an Alpaca crypto bot, why it works better as a confirmation layer, and what that taught me about Predict & Profit automation. Fri, 24 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python Kronos AI Crypto Trading Alpaca Automated Trading Machine Learning Algo Trading https://predictandprofit.io/blog/silent-api-failures-automated-trading https://predictandprofit.io/blog/silent-api-failures-automated-trading A bad dictionary key that returns an empty list instead of raising an exception is more dangerous than a broken trading algorithm. Here is how strict type validation in Python protects deployed capital, and why your algorithm is worthless if the data feeding it is silently wrong. Fri, 24 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python Infrastructure Kalshi API Automated Trading Risk Management Prediction Markets Weather Trading Bot https://predictandprofit.io/blog/ib-forecasttrader-vs-kalshi-automated-weather-trading https://predictandprofit.io/blog/ib-forecasttrader-vs-kalshi-automated-weather-trading Zero commission on IB ForecastTrader sounds great until you look at market depth. Here is an honest comparison of both platforms for algo traders. Sun, 12 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Weather Trading Bot IB ForecastTrader Prediction Markets Automated Trading https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kalshi-weather-bot-profitability-2026 https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kalshi-weather-bot-profitability-2026 As Kalshi prediction markets mature, simple arbitrage is gone. Here is a realistic look at weather trading bot profitability in 2026, the risks involved, and how to actually maintain an edge. Sun, 12 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Profitability Kalshi Automated Trading Prediction Markets Weather Trading Bot Python https://predictandprofit.io/blog/what-happens-when-the-bot-is-wrong https://predictandprofit.io/blog/what-happens-when-the-bot-is-wrong Every trading system loses. Here is a real loss from my Kalshi weather trading bot, the exact numbers, and why I still ran the trade. Sun, 12 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Weather Trading Bot Prediction Markets Algo Trading Transparency https://predictandprofit.io/blog/gfs-ensemble-vs-single-point-forecast https://predictandprofit.io/blog/gfs-ensemble-vs-single-point-forecast A single weather model will lie to you. Here is why the GFS ensemble gives a trading edge that single-point forecasts simply cannot match. Sat, 11 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) GFS Ensemble Weather Forecasting Kalshi Weather Trading Bot Prediction Markets https://predictandprofit.io/blog/idea-to-first-sale-30-days-age-60 https://predictandprofit.io/blog/idea-to-first-sale-30-days-age-60 I am 60, a full-time Senior Data Engineer, and I launched a Kalshi trading bot product in 30 days. Here is exactly what happened and what I would do differently. Sat, 11 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Indie Hacker Side Project Kalshi Weather Trading Bot Digital Products https://predictandprofit.io/blog/month-1-results-honest-numbers https://predictandprofit.io/blog/month-1-results-honest-numbers Real first-month numbers from the Predict & Profit Kalshi weather bot: trades placed, win rate, P&L, losses, lessons, and why public tracking matters. Fri, 10 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Weather Trading Bot Prediction Markets Trading Results Transparency https://predictandprofit.io/blog/why-i-filter-out-90-percent-of-trades https://predictandprofit.io/blog/why-i-filter-out-90-percent-of-trades Most algo traders overtrade. My Kalshi weather bot rejects 9 out of 10 potential trades. Here is exactly why that makes it better, not worse. Fri, 10 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Weather Trading Bot Algo Trading Risk Management Prediction Markets https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kalshi-partial-fills-logic https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kalshi-partial-fills-logic Submitting a market order does not guarantee full execution. If your algorithm cannot handle partial fills, you will eventually hold naked exposure. Tue, 07 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python Execution Kalshi Order Book https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kelly-criterion-weather-trading https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kelly-criterion-weather-trading A ninety percent win rate means nothing if your position sizing is flawed. How to use mathematical probability to size your Kalshi weather trades. Tue, 07 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Risk Management Kelly Criterion Statistics https://predictandprofit.io/blog/parsing-grib2-files-python https://predictandprofit.io/blog/parsing-grib2-files-python Institutional market makers do not use JSON APIs for weather data. They parse raw GRIB2 binaries. Learn why data engineering is the ultimate trading advantage. Tue, 07 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Data Engineering Python NOAA Latency https://predictandprofit.io/blog/backtesting-vs-forward-performance https://predictandprofit.io/blog/backtesting-vs-forward-performance A perfect backtest is usually the first sign something is wrong. Here is why historical weather data builds false confidence, and how I forward-test every update before it goes live on Kalshi. Fri, 03 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Backtesting Data Science Overfitting Kalshi Weather Trading Bot Automated Trading https://predictandprofit.io/blog/ensemble-convergence-math https://predictandprofit.io/blog/ensemble-convergence-math Statistical edge in Kalshi weather markets is found in the convergence of independent simulations. Here is the math behind why 62 ensemble members beat a single forecast, and what it means for automated trading. Fri, 03 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) HGEFS AIGEFS Statistics Ensemble Modeling GFS Ensemble Kalshi Weather Trading Bot https://predictandprofit.io/blog/noaa-asos-sensor-precision https://predictandprofit.io/blog/noaa-asos-sensor-precision Kalshi weather contracts settle based on specific NOAA ASOS station readings. Understanding sensor hardware, truncation rules, and station micro-climate bias is not optional — it is where edge lives at the margin. Fri, 03 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) NOAA ASOS Infrastructure Settlement Kalshi Weather Trading Bot GFS Ensemble https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kalshi-fee-trap https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kalshi-fee-trap The Kalshi fee formula peaks at 50-cent contracts — exactly where most volume trades. A mathematical breakdown of how fees eat your edge, and the Python filter that stops the bot from entering bad trades. Thu, 02 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Fees Risk Management Kalshi Python Prediction Markets Automated Trading Weather Trading Bot https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kalshi-order-book-imbalance https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kalshi-order-book-imbalance Volume is a lagging indicator. If your trading bot is not calculating order book depth and imbalance before execution, you are entering at the wrong price and not knowing it. Here is the math and the Python implementation. Thu, 02 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Quantitative Analysis Order Book Kalshi Liquidity Automated Trading Prediction Markets Weather Trading Bot https://predictandprofit.io/blog/weather-model-latency-traps https://predictandprofit.io/blog/weather-model-latency-traps GFS runs four times a day. If your pipeline does not know exactly when new data lands — and what to do in the gap — you are trading on old information while other bots have already updated. Here is how to fix it. Thu, 02 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Data Engineering Latency GFS Kalshi Automated Trading Weather Trading Bot Python https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kalshi-api-rate-limits https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kalshi-api-rate-limits A 429 error while holding an open position is a real problem. Here is how to architect your Python trading bot to avoid Kalshi API rate limits — and recover gracefully when you hit them anyway. Wed, 01 Apr 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python Kalshi API Infrastructure Automated Trading Prediction Markets Weather Trading Bot https://predictandprofit.io/blog/how-kalshi-weather-markets-work https://predictandprofit.io/blog/how-kalshi-weather-markets-work CFTC regulation, binary contract structure, NOAA ASOS settlement, bid-ask spread, fees, and why weather is the best asset class for an automated trading bot. Everything you need to know before writing your first line of code. Sun, 29 Mar 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Kalshi Weather Markets Settlement Prediction Markets Automated Trading Weather Trading Bot https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kalshi-api-python-guide https://predictandprofit.io/blog/kalshi-api-python-guide A practical Kalshi API Python tutorial for signed requests, RSA-PSS authentication, rate limits, pagination, positions, and trading-bot integration patterns. Sun, 29 Mar 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Python Kalshi API Authentication Automated Trading Prediction Markets Weather Trading Bot https://predictandprofit.io/blog/why-prediction-market-bots-fail https://predictandprofit.io/blog/why-prediction-market-bots-fail Most prediction market trading bots fail not because the signal is wrong but because of five implementation mistakes that destroy edge before any trade settles. Here is what they are and how to fix them. Sun, 29 Mar 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) Risk Management Edge Scoring Kalshi Automated Trading Prediction Markets Weather Trading Bot Python https://predictandprofit.io/blog/introducing-hgefs https://predictandprofit.io/blog/introducing-hgefs I combined NOAA's 31-member GFS physics ensemble with the new 31-member AIGEFS AI ensemble to build a 62-member grand ensemble. Here is why I did it, what it took technically, and what the early live results look like. Sat, 28 Mar 2026 12:00:00 GMT support@predictandprofit.io (Steve Farmer) HGEFS AIGEFS GFS Ensemble Kalshi Weather Trading Bot Automated Trading Python